World Soccer birth, Lottery game will slowly begin. Although not very long in the history of Chinese Football Lottery, for the entire betting industry trusts, the majority of players are real vulnerable groups, over the years, how to ascertain a game Shengping negative probability, been many players who dream of things, and continue whom painstaking, one after another. Throughout the various probabilities and betting theory, football, nothing more than the strength of the analysis, in Asian and European odds analysis research, but what are the odds of it, today as we resolve it.
European odds before betting company strength between the two sides based on race, war situation and other factors in the past out of a reference coefficient for the player bets. European odds (hereinafter referred to as the odds) is designed, according to the company is betting on the game accurately determine the results of the analysis through to the players betting psychology and habits of behavior, in order to make an assessment of wins, flat, negative capital flows on the three results, combined with the intention and opening their own business practices designed object betting everything, not just limited to football, F1, baseball, tennis, basketball, volleyball and even dog racing, lotto, presidential campaign and so varied.
Odds is a very complex system.Simple advice will be described below by way of example, 24 May 2007 Champions League final to AC Milan VS Liverpool score of 2 to 1, William.Hill out 2.302.803.00 odds, under the odds, if you bet AC Milan to win $ 100, minus principal, 120 yuan can be profitable, if the tie, tie bet 100 yuan, 180 yuan can be profitable.If Liverpool win, betting Liverpool 100 yuan can be profitable 200 yuan. Through 2.302.803.00 The odds for conversion, we can draw AC Milan probability of winning is 38.64%, the probability is 31 draw.74%, while the probability of winning is 29 Liverpool.62%. Similarly, the odds ratio also reflects the return of -88.87%, 100% minus the return rate is the dealer's pumping, Shengping Fu are three long-term results of this match while betting odds under, you will lose a bet of 11.3%. The games out of more than one company William Hill, there are other more than 150 companies, by calculating the average of more than 150 companies, we have come to average odds, the average odds are fundamentally describes the game If the value orientation of people's minds; while average odds of change is also often express this value orientation movements accurately. In another case, the average odds and can be said to reflect a player bets a certain extent the result of hot and cold.
The William.Odds comparison with the average odds Hill out of, we can convert the game William Hill Kelly index: 0.960.850.83, and return by Kelly index 88.87% contrast, can be found, AC Milan to win the Kelly index 0.96 more than the return rate 0.8887 to be high, and beat peaceful losing Kelly index return rate ratio here refers to William.Hill is not optimistic about AC Milan win, playing calm Liverpool winning both Kelly index, the lower the index Kelly Liverpool win, showed William.Hill is more optimistic about Liverpool win. Kelly index principle and conversion is very complex, we can ignore this process, but its meaning is very important; it is of great significance in the study of the low return rate when betting companies. Such as Oddset this game out of the odds are 2.102.702.70, by contrast with the average odds found that the odds Race results than the average of the three low, we can not judge all of a sudden the German company Oddset optimistic that the party, with the Bi Kaili index problem can be solved. Oddset Kelly index is 0.880.820.75 its return rate is 82.17%, we can draw Oddset also promising Liverpool win.Of course, Kelly index is a profound knowledge, use is also very broad, I will run through the various chapters after being discussed.
Individual odds, odds Shengping Fu average probability and derived, return rate, Kelly index, the odds in the study whose role is very important, as discussed below bookmakers odds of research and analysis, and they are directly related. Gaming's return rate is not static, the same company may be in different leagues, the Cup is completely different.For example, in five league Ladbrokes return rate is generally 0.89, while in Sweden the Premier League even reached 0.93 In addition, the same game in different leagues, and sometimes return rate will appear relatively large differences.The same betting company to raise its rate of return in the same league betting company which proved higher degree of certainty for the game.On the contrary, it is a low risk of the game and make sure avoidance. And Kelly index is not isolated, but not out of nothing, it is completely dependent on the average odds and betting odds conversion from the company itself.
The average odds are the odds that we study individual reference, while for the conversion sub-plate; in the study sub-plate, the average odds is a very important point of reference, by observing the changes in the average odds can be drawn betting companies optimistic about the party or the party more popular bets. Return rate both directly reflects bookmakers pumping, but also indirectly reflects the betting company to grasp the extent of the game different.100% minus the return rate is betting the company's pumping rate. Kelly index is the average odds and betting odds calculated by the company itself, which is closely related with the return rate, by comparison with the rate of return can be drawn from betting companies optimistic side. Shengping Fu probability is converted from the odds, through Shengping Fu percentage in descending rank can be drawn for each betting companies optimistic about the extent of a particular outcome. Familiar with the odds of a few basic concepts, we will be able to travel the world is full of mystery odds
